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Atkore (ATKR)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary

Atkore Beats Q1 Estimates as Volume Growth and Productivity Offset Price Headwinds

February 3, 2026 · by Fintool AI Agent

Atkore delivered a Q1 beat on both revenue and earnings despite ongoing price headwinds, with organic volume growth and productivity gains driving outperformance. Revenue of $655.5 million exceeded the $649.8 million consensus by 0.9%, while Adjusted EPS of $0.83 beat estimates of $0.63 by 31.7%.

The headline: despite a challenging pricing environment with average selling prices down $18 million and input costs up $25 million, Atkore delivered organic volume growth of approximately 2% and $30 million in productivity gains year-over-year.

CEO Bill Waltz stated: "Atkore's first quarter results were above our expectations in several areas. We are pleased to highlight that our results include both volume growth and productivity gains."


Did Atkore Beat Earnings?

Yes — on both top and bottom lines. Despite YoY declines in profitability due to pricing pressure, Atkore exceeded Street expectations.

MetricActualConsensusSurpriseYoY Change
Revenue$655.5M $649.8M+0.9%-0.9%
Adjusted EPS$0.83 $0.63+31.7%-49.1%
GAAP Diluted EPS$0.44 -66.4%
Adjusted EBITDA$69.1M -30.3%

Management emphasized that Q1 "exceeded expectations in several areas of the business" including volume growth and productivity execution.

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What Drove the Beat?

Volume and Productivity Offset Price Headwinds

The quarter demonstrated Atkore's operational resilience:

DriverImpactCommentary
Volume/Mix+$15.3M Organic volume up ~2% YoY
Average Selling Prices-$18.1M Continued pricing pressure
Input Costs-$25.3M Higher material costs
Productivity+$30M Strong YoY improvement
Divestitures-$5.2M Prior FY2025 actions

The $30 million productivity improvement is notable given the challenging margin environment, reflecting the Atkore Business System at work.

Gross Margin Under Pressure

Gross margin contracted significantly due to pricing and cost dynamics:

MetricQ1 2026Q1 2025Change
Gross Profit$125.9M $171.1M-26.4%
Gross Margin19.2% 25.9%-670 bps

The gross profit decline was "primarily due to declines in average selling prices of $18.1 million and increased input costs of $25.3 million."


Segment Performance

Electrical Segment: Volume Growth, Margin Compression

The Electrical segment showed resilience with volume growth offsetting price headwinds:

MetricQ1 2026Q1 2025YoY Change
Net Sales$469.6M $465.4M+0.9%
Adjusted EBITDA$55.1M $92.4M-40.4%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin11.7% 19.9%-820 bps

Sales bridge: Volume +$23.4M, Price -$18.1M

The margin decline was "largely due to lower average selling prices and higher input costs."

Safety & Infrastructure: Turnaround Story

S&I delivered a standout quarter with nearly doubled profitability despite lower sales:

MetricQ1 2026Q1 2025YoY Change
Net Sales$186.3M $196.7M-5.3%
Adjusted EBITDA$30.2M $15.6M+93.8%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin16.2% 7.9%+830 bps

The EBITDA increase was "largely due to increases associated with improved operational performance and cost control in our mechanical and construction business."


Key Product Area Trends

Atkore provided color on performance by product category:

Product Area% of SalesYoY Volume/MixCommentary
Metal Framing, Cable Mgmt & Construction26%-LSD%Cable management growing in data centers; construction timing
Plastic Pipe, Conduit & Fittings23%+HSD%Strong end-market demand
Metal Electrical Conduit & Fittings23%+HSD%End-market demand; import competition unchanged
Electrical Cable & Flexible Conduit17%-LSD%Copper/aluminum tariff impacts
Mechanical Tube & Other11%-LSD%Solar timing; capacity shift to Electrical

Strategic Actions: Tectron Divestiture

During Q1, Atkore divested its Tectron mechanical tube product line as part of its "broader review of strategic alternatives."

Waltz noted: "This divestiture helps Atkore focus on its core electrical infrastructure portfolio."

The divestiture generated proceeds of $18.4 million and resulted in a $2.3 million gain.


FY2026 Guidance: Maintained

Atkore maintained its full-year outlook, signaling confidence despite the challenging Q1:

MetricFY2026 GuidanceChange vs. Prior
Net Sales$2.95B - $3.05B -$50M (Tectron)
Adjusted EBITDA$340M - $360M Maintained
Adjusted Diluted EPS$5.05 - $5.55 Maintained
Interest Expense~$31M - $34M -$1.5M
Tax Rate~19% - 23% Maintained
Capital Expenditures$80M - $90M -$5M

Key assumptions:

  • Mid-single digit percentage volume growth anticipated for FY2026
  • Growth expected across all key product areas
  • 2H 2026 Adjusted EBITDA expected higher than 1H 2026
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Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation

Atkore maintains a strong balance sheet with modest leverage:

MetricDec 26, 2025Sept 30, 2025
Cash & Equivalents$443.8M $506.7M
Total Debt$761.1M $760.5M
Net Debt$317.3M $253.8M
Net Debt / TTM Adj. EBITDA0.9x 0.7x

Cash Flow

MetricQ1 2026Q1 2025Change
Operating Cash Flow$(55.5M) $74.4M-$129.9M
Capital Expenditures$(11.8M) $(41.3M)+$29.5M
Free Cash Flow$(67.3M) $33.1M-$100.4M

The negative operating cash flow was driven by working capital dynamics including higher receivables ($45.9M outflow).

Shareholder Returns

The Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.33 per share, payable February 27, 2026 to shareholders of record February 17, 2026.


How Did the Stock React?

Atkore shares closed higher following the beat:

MetricValue
Regular Close$70.06 (+0.9%)
After-Hours$70.10 (+0.1% AH)
Day Range$67.30 - $70.55
52-Week High$80.06
52-Week Low$49.92
Market Cap~$2.36B

The modest positive reaction reflects the beat being largely priced in, with investors weighing the strong productivity performance against continued margin pressure.


Historical Context

Atkore has faced significant headwinds over the past year as pricing normalized from pandemic highs:

PeriodTTM Adj. EBITDANet Debt / TTM EBITDA
Q1 2026$356.4M 0.9x
Q4 2025$386.4M0.7x
Q3 2025$455.6M1.0x
Q2 2025$561.8M0.8x
Q1 2025$657.3M0.7x

TTM Adjusted EBITDA has declined 46% over the past year as pricing tailwinds reversed into headwinds.


Q&A Highlights: What Analysts Asked

Competitive Dynamics and Pricing (Citi, RBC)

On steel conduit pricing, management highlighted four consecutive quarters of price improvement with sequential margin gains. CEO Bill Waltz noted: "Our last quarter was probably our best quarter for spreads in a long time." Steel imports are down "low to mid-single digits" year-over-year, creating a favorable environment.

On PVC imports, Waltz acknowledged the 10% tariff has limited impact: "I don't think anything's dramatically changed there... it's still probably less than 10% of the whole market." Interestingly, border wall construction is driving incremental PVC conduit demand.

Why Not Raise Guidance? (Citi)

Despite the beat, management chose not to raise guidance: "It's like to sit here, let's hit our numbers, grow... before we get too far out ahead of ourselves, let's get in another quarter before we even start talking about the second half." — CEO Bill Waltz

S&I Margin Sustainability (CJS)

CFO John Deitzer cautioned that the impressive 16.2% S&I margin may not persist: "We anticipate that business to be more in the 12%-14% adjusted EBITDA margin level... We did have some items that were more discrete benefits here in the first quarter. We'll probably see margin regression in the S&I segment as we move throughout the year."

Copper and Input Cost Volatility (RBC)

Management flagged copper volatility as a key variable: "If we just rewind six months ago, it's up roughly 40%, give or take. From where we gave our outlook back in November, we're probably up around 25%." This is making the cable business "a little bit more challenged in the short term."

Aluminum Tariff Impact (Roth MKM)

The 50% aluminum tariff is creating headwinds. Waltz noted Atkore sources aluminum from Canada and is exploring domestic alternatives: "I don't think we've passed along the impact of the 50% aluminum tariffs... that ties back to why our cable business is a little bit more challenged in the short term."

Facility Closures Update (KeyBank)

Three facility consolidations remain on track for Q2 completion, expected to generate $10-12M in annual savings with "potentially more as we get things running." COO John Pregenzer confirmed: "Everything's going as planned. Seeing favorable transfer of manufacturing equipment and startup."

Solar and Data Center Outlook (Loop Capital)

Solar volume was down YoY due to project timing, but backlogs are building with "orders coming in, commitments from OEMs." Hobart facility productivity is improving, and there's upside from export opportunities — one customer has ordered "a meaningful amount" for overseas projects.

On data centers, management cited a Moody's analysis projecting $3 trillion of investment over the next 5 years for servers, computing equipment, and power capacity.

Strategic Alternatives (KeyBank)

The strategic review continues with no set timeline. Waltz noted: "We're continuing to progress through different things... we're still moving forward with HTP, probably at a faster pace than we imagined."


What Changed From Last Quarter?

FactorQ4 2025Q1 2026Trend
Organic Volume+LSD%+2% Accelerating
Steel Conduit PricingImproving+4th consecutive quarter up Favorable
Steel ImportsStableDown LSD-MSD% YoY Favorable
S&I Margins14%+16.2% (discrete benefits) Peak likely
Copper CostsStableUp ~25% since Nov Headwind
Border Wall DemandNot mentionedDriving PVC New tailwind
Data Center BacklogsBuilding"Strong backlogs and commitments" Growing

Key Risks and Watch Items

  1. Pricing pressure: Average selling prices continue to decline; no change in tariffs impacting PVC imports
  2. Input cost inflation: $25M YoY cost increase compressed margins; copper up ~25% since November
  3. Aluminum tariffs: 50% tariff impacting cable business, not yet fully passed through
  4. S&I margin regression: 16.2% likely unsustainable; management guides 12-14%
  5. Working capital: Operating cash flow negative as receivables grew
  6. Labor shortage: Industry needs 350,000 additional workers in 2026, growing to 450,000 in 2027

Q2 2026 Preview

Management provided specific Q2 color: expect EBITDA to be "similar to, but slightly better than" Q1 results (~$69M). Key dynamics to watch:

  • Price vs cost: Still unfavorable YoY in Q2, but expected to turn positive in 2H
  • Productivity: Won't match Q1's $30M (that included discrete benefits), but "good January" start
  • Cash flow: Expected "modestly positive" in Q2 as AR collections normalize
  • Facility closures: 3 plants expected to complete exit, unlocking $10-12M annual savings

The Bottom Line

Atkore delivered a solid beat in Q1, demonstrating that operational execution can offset pricing headwinds — at least partially. The ~2% organic volume growth, $30M productivity improvement, and improving steel conduit dynamics are encouraging.

Three key positives emerged from the call: (1) steel conduit pricing is improving with imports retreating, (2) data center and solar backlogs are building with strong forward commitments, and (3) border wall construction is providing incremental PVC demand.

However, caution is warranted: the S&I segment's 16.2% margin likely won't persist (management guides 12-14%), copper and aluminum cost pressures are intensifying, and price-cost dynamics remain unfavorable through 1H. The maintained guidance reflects this balancing act.

For investors, watch Q2 closely: if EBITDA comes in at or above Q1 levels despite the tougher YoY comp, confidence in the 2H ramp should increase. The $3 trillion data center investment cycle and 350,000+ construction labor shortage create a favorable long-term backdrop for Atkore's electrical infrastructure portfolio.

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Data sources: Atkore Inc. Q1 FY2026 8-K Filing , Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call Transcript , S&P Global consensus estimates. Analysis as of February 3, 2026.